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Subby’s Ag & Weather Report 09/24/2024

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weather-blog-header-2

Unfortunately very little moisture expected for West Central Missouri this weekend as previously hoped. Hurricane Helene came in a bit further east than originally thought so the boothill of Missouri as well as the Ohio Valley will receive all the moisture. We will be expected a dry next week but pleasant temps. The dry weather up to last week does favor summer crop maturation and harvesting. Many area farmers are combining this week. Another system is set to move in from the Pacific around the 10th-15th of October to hopefully provide needed moisture here in WCMO. Here is the latest from USDA Ag Meteorologist as well as your Meteogram and Local Cattle Report. Subby

In the West, slightly cooler air is arriving in the Pacific Northwest. Elsewhere, very warm, dry weather favors summer crop maturation and harvesting, as well as Northwestern winter wheat planting. In many areas, however, impacts from a
hotter- and drier-than-normal summer—including a lack of soil moisture and poor rangeland and pastures conditions— remain a concern while producers await the arrival of widespread cold-season precipitation.  On the Plains, dry weather accompanies a late-season hot spell. Today’s high temperatures will reach 95°F or higher as
far north as western and central South Dakota. For areas that have not received recent rainfall, including large sections of Nebraska and South Dakota, soil moisture is lacking for the proper establishment of winter wheat. However, the rapidly worsening dryness also favors summer crop maturation and harvesting.  In the Corn Belt, dry weather is promoting summer crop maturation and early-season harvest efforts. By September 22,
fourteen percent of the U.S. corn acreage and 13% of the soybeans had been harvested, ahead of the respective 5-year averages of 11 and 8%. Today’s Midwestern high temperatures will range from near 75°F in the eastern Corn Belt to 90°F or higher in the middle Missouri Valley.  In the South, heavy showers in advance of Hurricane Helene are already falling from Florida into the southern Appalachians. Producers in north-central Florida and southwestern Georgia are bracing for a direct hit from Helene, expected to arrive tonight. Meanwhile, from the Mississippi Delta westward, warm, dry weather favors autumn fieldwork. Outlook: Hurricane Helene will reach Florida’s Big Bend tonight, just 13 months after Category 3 Hurricane Idalia and less than 2 months after Category 1 Hurricane Debby crossed the same general area. Helene is forecast to be a major hurricane at landfall, with maximum sustained winds expected to be greater than 110 mph and a storm surge that could reach 15 to 20 feet. Hurricane-related wind damage could extend as far inland as the southern Appalachians. Helene will be crossing a key agricultural region, with potentially devastating effects on timber, pecans, and cotton. Once inland, Helene will weaken and veer northwestward before stalling over the Tennessee Valley until dissipation. This will result in flash flooding, especially in the southern Appalachians, from rainfall that could total 6 to 12 inches or more, atop rain that has already fallen. For most of the remainder of the country, including the Plains, upper Midwest, and much of the West, warm, dry weather during the next 5 days will favor summer crop maturation and harvesting, as well as winter wheat planting. The NWS 6- to 10-day outlook for October 1 – 5 calls for near- or above-normal temperatures nationwide, with the Southwest having the greatest likelihood of experiencing warm weather. Meanwhile, near- or below-normal precipitation across much of the country should contrast with wetter-than-normal weather a few areas, including western Washington, peninsular Florida, and much of the Northeast.

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