I know I am a bit late with the report this week, as I normally post these on Monday’s. Lots and lots of projects going on now! As of Monday, our drought is continuing to shrink (pick 1 below).
This blocking pattern we had discussed earlier in the week called the “Omega Block” has thrown a curve ball into the LRC forecast, but is still right on track with the cycle. Using the LRC is incredibly useful, especially in the ag field. Kevin Van Trumps writes up reports 5 days a week in agricultural publications and his report from May 6th, 2025 called “Using The “LRC” to Guide Your Weather Updates and Forecasts… Late-spring and summer forecasts” talks about the usefulness of the LRC:
“Spring 2025 has already thrown some major curveballs across the country with record warmth in March, volatile storm systems in April, and persistent drought signals in some key agricultural regions. For farmers, ranchers, and agribusiness operators, the stakes are incredibly high, and as you know, timing is everything. Most weather models, even the best ones like the American GFS model and the European model, can’t see more than 7-10 days out with meaningful accuracy. Seasonal outlooks are often broad generalizations and quote warmer than usual or drier than average etc. All the while, your decisions about planting, logistics, input purchases, and market strategy must happen weeks or months ahead, not days. Weather 2020’s “Lezak Recurring Cycle” (LRC) model has proven what most thought impossible. There is an underlying order in what appears to be chaotic weather. It’s why Weather 20/20 was ranked #1 in hurricane season forecasting by the Barcelona Supercomputing Center for the past three years, and it’s why more ag businesses are adopting LRC-based insights into their operations.”
Looking long range, the LRC is showing all of Missouri in the 90-110% of rainfall through September 30th on average. This is very good news for the area’s farmers (pic 2):
Remember, if any of you want to utilize the LRC Dashboard or any of the products offered by our Weather 20/20 group, feel free to message me or take a look at our website https://www.weather2020.com/partner/subbys-weather-talk and see how we can help you save $ in the field and more crops in the bin. I will leave you with this week exclusive Agricultural Meteogram. Subby
